ConvexPi

Long-run reversal

⚠ weakened
LRreversalReversal· Price data

Stock return between months t-36 and t-13.

A recomputed, out-of-sample-scored replication of this factor is available — verdict dormant, OOS Sharpe 0.07.

IS Sharpe (1929–1984)

0.390

+8.8% p.a.

OOS Sharpe (1985–2024)

0.285

+5.0% p.a.

Sharpe decay

+26.9%

(IS − OOS) / |IS|

IS vol

22.6%

annualized

Cumulative return (last 40 years, monthly)

+232%
1984-012024-12

Publication details

AuthorsDe Bondt and Thaler
PaperDe Bondt and Thaler (1985)
JournalJournal of Finance
Publication year1985
Original sample1929–1982
IS T-statistic3.29
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