ConvexPi

Momentum based on FF3 residuals

⚠ weakened
ResidualMomentumMomentum· Price data

Run a rolling regression over 36 months of excess return (retrf) on excess market return (mktrf), size and value factors (smb, hml) and compute idiosyncratic returns as the one-month lagged residual. ResidualMomentum is the rolling mean of the residual divided by the rolling standard deviation of the residual, both computed over the past 11 months.

IS Sharpe (1930–2010)

0.910

+11.3% p.a.

OOS Sharpe (2011–2024)

0.417

+4.4% p.a.

Sharpe decay

+54.2%

(IS − OOS) / |IS|

IS vol

12.4%

annualized

Cumulative return (last 40 years, monthly)

+4912%
1984-012024-12

Publication details

AuthorsBlitz, Huij and Martens
PaperBlitz, Huij and Martens (2011)
JournalJEmpFin
Publication year2011
Original sample1930–2009
IS T-statistic8.22
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