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New Evidence on the Relation between the Enterprise Multiple and Average Stock Returns

Tim Loughran, Jay W. Wellman

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis · 2011 · 118 citations

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The Enterprise Multiple and Average Stock Returns


Source: Loughran & Wellman (2011) · Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis · DOI: 10.1017/s0022109011000445


TL;DR


The enterprise multiple — EM = (equity + debt + preferred − cash) / EBITDA — is a strong cross-sectional return predictor. Low-EM (cheap) firms earn higher subsequent returns; the authors build an EM factor earning ~5.3%/yr. They interpret EM as a proxy for the discount rate: low-EM firms have high required returns.


What anomaly it documents


  • Predictor: enterprise multiple (enterprise value / EBITDA).
  • Direction: negative in EM — low-EM (cheap) firms earn more.
  • Shape: monotone; EM factor ~5.3%/yr.
  • OSAP predictor: EntMult.

  • How to construct it


  • Sorting variable: EM = (market equity + total debt + preferred − cash) / EBITDA.
  • Universe: NYSE/AMEX/Nasdaq common stocks.
  • Portfolio formation: rank into EM deciles.
  • Long / short: long low EM, short high EM.
  • Weighting: value-weighted; factor built à la Fama-French.
  • Rebalancing: annual.

  • Evidence and replication


    PeriodNotesSource
    IS (1963–2009)EM factor ~5.28%/yr; dominates many value proxiesthis paper
    OOS (post-2011)popular practitioner value proxy; persistspost-publication
    OSAP (EntMult)replicatesChen & Zimmermann 2022

    Why it might work


  • Discount-rate proxy: low EM signals a high required return (a value/risk story).
  • Capital-structure neutral: using enterprise value makes it comparable across leverage.

  • Limitations and risks


  • Value overlap: highly correlated with book-to-market and other value measures.
  • EBITDA quirks: sensitive to accounting and negative-EBITDA firms.
  • Crowding: a heavily used practitioner signal.

  • Key references


  • Loughran, T. & Wellman, J. (2011) — New Evidence on the Relation between the Enterprise Multiple and Average Stock Returns — JFQA — DOI: 10.1017/s0022109011000445
  • Fama, E. & French, K. (1993) — Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds — JFE



  • Provenance: generated from the paper's abstract and metadata, not full text; sample periods and replication notes are indicative — verify against the source.

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