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Dissecting Anomalies

Eugene F. Fama, Kenneth R. French

The Journal of Finance · 2008 · 1553 citations

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Dissecting Anomalies


Source: Fama, E. F. & French, K. R. (2008) · Journal of Finance 63(4), 1653–1678


TL;DR

A systematic, skeptical re-examination of the major cross-sectional anomalies — net stock issues, accruals, momentum, profitability, and asset growth — using two complementary tools (value-weighted sorts and Fama–MacBeth cross-section regressions) run separately for tiny, small, and big size groups over July 1963–December 2005. The headline lesson: net stock issues, accruals, and momentum are pervasive (present in all size groups), whereas the asset growth and profitability anomalies are less robust — asset growth is present in tiny/small stocks but absent among big stocks (which hold >90% of market cap), and only the high-profitability side shows up.


The idea

Anomalies are usually documented with equal-weighted (EW) hedge portfolios that can be dominated by tiny stocks (market cap below the 20th NYSE percentile): tiny stocks are only ~3% of total market cap but ~60% of the number of stocks, and they have the widest dispersion in anomaly variables, so they crowd the extreme deciles. Value-weighting fixes that but can be dominated by a few big stocks. Fama and French therefore sort within three size groups (breakpoints at the 20th and 50th NYSE market-cap percentiles) and cross-check with Fama–MacBeth regressions to ask which anomalies are pervasive versus which are microcap phenomena that are hard to trade at scale.


Evidence

  • Pervasive across all size groups (tiny, small, big): net stock issues, accruals, and momentum — strong in regressions and in sort extremes (with some "chinks in the armor" for net issues and accruals).
  • Asset growth: anomaly present in tiny and small stocks but absent for big stocks that account for >90% of market capitalization.
  • Profitability: asymmetric — higher profitability is associated with abnormally higher returns, but there is little evidence that unprofitable firms earn unusually low returns.
  • Method warning: sorts and regressions can disagree because FM regressions give each tiny stock equal influence (weight by count) while VW sorts do not; regressions also better isolate marginal (unique) effects and functional form.

  • Why it matters

  • Locate the anomaly: an effect living only in microcaps is largely untradable at scale — directly relevant to honest, capacity-aware backtesting.
  • Method discipline: prefer VW evidence, examine size groups separately, and use multiple regression to test which signals carry unique information; this paper is a template for evaluating any new predictor.

  • Caveats

  • Conclusions are about pervasiveness and tradeability, not about why the anomalies exist (risk vs mispricing).
  • Sample ends in 2005; relations may have changed out of sample.
  • Both tools have weaknesses (sorts hide marginal effects/functional form; regressions over-weight tiny stocks) — the paper's point is to triangulate, not to trust either alone.

  • Key references

  • Fama, E. & French, K. (2008) — Dissecting Anomalies — Journal of Finance
  • Fama, E. & MacBeth, J. (1973) — Risk, Return, and Equilibrium — JPE
  • Sloan, R. (1996) — Do Stock Prices Fully Reflect Accruals? — Accounting Review
  • Cooper, Gulen & Schill (2008) — Asset Growth and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns — Journal of Finance



  • Provenance: verified/generated from the paper's full text.


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