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Accrued Earnings and Growth: Implications for Future Profitability and Market Mispricing

Patricia M. Fairfield, J. Scott Whisenant, Teri Lombardi Yohn

The Accounting Review · 2003 · 785 citations

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Accrued Earnings and Growth: Implications for Future Profitability and Market Mispricing


Source: Fairfield, Whisenant & Yohn (2003) · The Accounting Review · DOI: 10.2308/accr.2003.78.1.353


TL;DR


Fairfield, Whisenant & Yohn show Sloan's accrual anomaly is part of a broader growth-in-net-operating-assets effect. Both accruals and the other component of NOA growth (long-term operating-asset growth) are less persistent for future profitability than cash flows, and the market overprices both — recasting accruals mispricing as a special case of growth mispricing.


What anomaly it documents


  • Predictor: growth in net operating assets (accruals + long-term NOA growth).
  • Direction: negative — high NOA growth → lower future returns and profitability.
  • Shape: monotone; subsumes accruals as one component of NOA growth.
  • OSAP predictor: GrLTNOA.

  • How to construct it


  • Sorting variable: growth in long-term net operating assets (and total NOA growth).
  • Universe: firms with statements.
  • Portfolio formation: rank into NOA-growth deciles.
  • Long / short: long low NOA growth, short high.
  • Weighting: equal-weighted.
  • Rebalancing: annual.

  • Evidence and replication


    PeriodNotesSource
    IS (1964–1993)NOA growth mispriced; subsumes accrualsthis paper
    OOS (post-2003)leads to Hirshleifer et al. NOA scaled by assetspost-publication
    OSAP (GrLTNOA)replicatesChen & Zimmermann 2022

    Why it might work


  • Diminishing returns to growth: rapid operating-asset growth has low persistence the market overweights.
  • Earnings fixation: investors extrapolate growth-inflated earnings.

  • Limitations and risks


  • Accrual-family decay: the broader effect has weakened.
  • Fundamentals dependence: needs balance-sheet detail.
  • Investment overlap: correlated with asset-growth/investment anomalies.

  • Key references


  • Fairfield, P., Whisenant, S. & Yohn, T. (2003) — Accrued Earnings and Growth — TAR — DOI: 10.2308/accr.2003.78.1.353
  • Sloan, R. (1996) — Do Stock Prices Fully Reflect Information in Accruals and Cash Flows? — TAR



  • Provenance: generated from the paper's abstract and metadata, not full text; sample periods and replication notes are indicative — verify against the source.

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