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Do Sales–Price and Debt–Equity Explain Stock Returns Better than Book–Market and Firm Size?

William C. Barbee, Sandip Mukherji, Gary A. Raines

Financial Analysts Journal · 1996 · 234 citations

Value
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Do Sales-Price and Debt-Equity Explain Returns Better than Book-Market and Size?


Source: Barbee, Mukherji & Raines (1996) · Financial Analysts Journal · DOI: 10.2469/faj.v52.n2.1980


TL;DR


Barbee, Mukherji & Raines argue the sales-to-price (S/P) ratio explains the cross-section of returns better than book-to-market or size, and that S/P subsumes the debt-equity effect. Because sales are less distorted by leverage and accounting choices than book value or earnings, S/P is a cleaner value measure.


What anomaly it documents


  • Predictor: sales-to-price ratio (sales per dollar of market value).
  • Direction: positive — high S/P (cheap on sales) firms earn higher returns.
  • Shape: monotone; S/P dominates B/M and size in their sample, and absorbs D/E.
  • OSAP predictor: SP.

  • How to construct it


  • Sorting variable: sales / market value of equity.
  • Universe: NYSE/AMEX/Nasdaq common stocks.
  • Portfolio formation: rank into S/P deciles.
  • Long / short: long high S/P, short low S/P.
  • Weighting: equal- or value-weighted.
  • Rebalancing: annual.

  • Evidence and replication


    PeriodNotesSource
    IS (1979–1991)S/P beats B/M and size; absorbs D/Ethis paper
    OOS (post-1996)a robust value proxy; overlaps B/Mpost-publication
    OSAP (SP)replicatesChen & Zimmermann 2022

    Why it might work


  • Cleaner value signal: sales resist the leverage/accounting distortions that affect book value and earnings.
  • Value premium: S/P is another lens on cheapness.

  • Limitations and risks


  • Value overlap: correlated with other value measures; modest marginal alpha.
  • Margin blindness: S/P ignores profitability — high-sales, low-margin firms can be value traps.
  • Sample-specific: the dominance over B/M may not generalize.

  • Key references


  • Barbee, W., Mukherji, S. & Raines, G. (1996) — Do Sales-Price and Debt-Equity Explain Stock Returns Better than Book-Market and Firm Size? — FAJ — DOI: 10.2469/faj.v52.n2.1980



  • Provenance: generated from the paper's abstract and metadata, not full text; sample periods and replication notes are indicative — verify against the source.

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